Monday, January 30, 2012

Gold lower Today after earlier rising to its highest in more than seven weeks as investors awaited the outcome of Greece's debt deal talks.
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EU leaders will sign off on permanent rescue fund for euro zone at a summit Today & expected to agree on budget rule in national legislation.

Friday, January 27, 2012

Gold traders are bullish for a 4th consecutive week, betting that the Federal Reserve’s pledge to keep interest rates low until late 2014 will extend the metal’s best start to a year in more than three decades.
25 Analysts Survey about Next Week Gold:
19 Forecast Rise
6 Said Fall
0 Member Neutral
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Today's Economic Data:
"Advance GDP q/q"
Actual:2.8%
Forecast:3.0%
Previous:1.8%
*Data Negative for Dollar
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Advance GDP q/q data will be released today, It will have a minor impact on US dollar which will affect base metal and Bullion prices.

Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Gold continue to trade above 200-day MA, breaching that important technical indicator the move is considered as beginning of a new uptrend.
Gold may rebound, as US central bank is set to release interest rate forecasts for 1st time, weakening dollar & boosting commodities demand.

Tuesday, January 24, 2012

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RBI kept repo and reverse repo rates unchanged at 8.5% and 7.5% respectively, despite mounting anxiety over slowdown in growth.
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Investors watching outcome of 2-day Fed meeting which ends on Wednesday for any signs that interest rates will stay lower for longer.

Friday, January 20, 2012

Gold looking downside until & unless price will not break 27400 with good volume & Below 27100 prices are expected to trade till 26800.
Oil prices higher in Asian trade today as a weaker US currency encouraged buying of the dollar priced commodity.
Trader said that there still appears to be physical Gold buying support coming from the Asian sector primarily China and India.

Thursday, January 19, 2012

"Unemployment Claims"
Actual: 352K
Forecast: 387K
Previous: 399K
*Data Positive for Dollar
US Energy Department scheduled to release it weekly inventories report today and crude inventories is expected to rise by 2.8 million barrels.

Wednesday, January 18, 2012

Today's Economic Data:
"TIC Long-Term Purchases"
Actual: 59.8B
Forecast: 27.3B
Previous: 4.8B
*Data Positive for Dollar
IMF is estimating it needs to raise up to $600 billion in new resources to lend to countries struggling with the fallout from the euro zone debt crisis.
Newmont predicts attributable Gold production of 5 million to 5.2 million & Copper output of 150 million to 170 million ounces this year.
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Tuesday, January 17, 2012

Silver Technical:
Pivot: 29.95$
Trend: RSI is mixed to bullish
ST: Bullish
MT: Range
GOLD Technical:
Pivot: 1646$
Trend: RSI is bullish and calls for further upside
ST: Ltd upside
MT: Bullish
EUR/USD Technical:
Pivot: 1.2680
Trend: Pair broken above its intermediary resistance & remains on upside
ST: Consolidation
MT: Bearish
USD/JPY Technical:
Pivot: 76.95
Trend: Pair has struck against its resistance & should face further weakness
ST: Ltd Downside
MT: Bearish

Friday, January 13, 2012

Crude Technical:
Pivot: 100.55$
Trend: upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 100.55
ST: Ltd upside
MT: Ltd upside
Silver Technical:
Pivot: 29.65$
Trend: Intraday support around $29.65
ST: Bullish
MT: Range
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USD/JPY Technical:
Pivot: 77.05
Trend: Pair is under pressure and is challenging its support.
ST: Ltd Downside
MT: Bearish
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EUR/USD Technical:
Pivot: 1.2790
Trend: Pair has broken above its resistance and remains on the upside
ST: Consolidation
MT: Bearish

Thursday, January 12, 2012

Today's Economic Data:
"Core Retail Sales m/m"
Actual:-0.2%
Forecast:0.3%
Previous:0.2%
*Data Negative for Dollar
Today's Economic Data:
"Retail Sales m/m"
Actual:0.1%
Forecast:0.3%
Previous:0.2%
*Data Negative for Dollar
Today's Economic Data:
"Unemployment Claims"
Actual:399K
Forecast:373K
Previous:372K
*Data Negative for Dollar
nEws: European Central Bank leaves key interest rate unchanged at 1% despite continued concern about sovereign debt crisis.
Gold prices higher Today on concerns about euro zone debt crisis ahead of Spain's bond auction & a European Central Bank meeting.
USD/JPY Technical:
Pivot: 77.05
Trend: Pair is under pressure and is challenging its support
ST: Ltd Downside
MT: Bearish
USD/JPY Technical:
Pivot: 77.05
Trend: Pair is under pressure and is challenging its support
ST: Ltd Downside
MT: Bearish
EUR/USD Technical:
Pivot: 1.2730
Trend: Pair is rebounding and is challenging its resistance, caution
ST: Consolidation
MT: Bearish
GOLD Technical:
Pivot: 1638$
Trend: Technically, RSI is above its neutrality area at 50
ST: Ltd upside
MT: Bullish
Silver Technical:
Pivot: 29.65$
Trend: Intraday support around 29.65
ST: Bullish
MT: Range
Crude Technical:
Pivot: 101.60$
Trend: Look for choppy price action with a bearish bias
ST: Ltd upside
MT: Ltd upside

Wednesday, January 11, 2012

EUR/USD Technical:
Pivot: 1.2730
Trend: Pair is challenging its support, caution.
ST: Consolidation
MT: Bearish
Crude Technical:
Pivot: 101.50$
Trend: RSI has just landed on a support around 30% and is reversing up
ST: Bullish
MT: Ltd upside
Silver Technical:
Pivot: 29.65$
Trend: RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.
ST: Bullish
MT: Range
GOLD Technical:
Pivot: 1629$
Trend: RSI has just landed on its neutrality area at 50% and is turning up
ST: Ltd upside
MT: Bullish

Tuesday, January 10, 2012

EUR/USD Technical:
Pivot: 1.2695
Trend: Pair has broken above its bearish channel upper boundary and remains on the upside.
ST: Consolidation
MT: Bearish

Monday, January 9, 2012

Dollar Index hovering 81 and is expected to move negatively, if it is breaks level of 80.78 that may have Negative impact on overall base metals.
Crude Technical:
Pivot: 102.75$
Trend: 50% retracement level at 101 should maintain upward pressure
ST: Bullish
MT: Ltd upside
Silver Technical:
Pivot: 28.35$
Trend: Bullish flag is taking place, eye a new up leg toward 30.8
ST: Bullish
MT: Range
GOLD Technical:
Pivot: 1604$
Trend: Technically RSI is above its neutrality area at 50
ST: Ltd upside
MT: Bullish

Saturday, January 7, 2012

24 Analysts Survey about Next Week Gold:
8 Forecast Rise.
9 Said Fall.
7 Member Neutral.
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Friday, January 6, 2012

TrendLine:
#Gold Down(-4.50) due to Strengthening of US Dollar
#Gold Rise(+8.70) due to Predominant Buyers
#Finally Gold Gains+4.20$
Analysis: Crude oil is expected to remain in range due to mixed economic data. Expecting Crude oil remains choppy in range of 5300-5400.
EUR/USD Technical:
Pivot: 1.2855
Trend: Pair stands below its resistance and remains under pressure.
ST: Consolidation
MT: Bearish
TrendLine:
#Gold Down(-0.80) due to Strengthening of US Dollar
#Gold Rise(+3.10) due to Predominant Buyers
#Finally Gold Gains+2.30$
Crude Trend:
SHORT positions below $101.6 with targets @ 101 & 100.5. Upside penetration of 102.6 will call for a rebound 103.15 & 103.7
SILVER Trend:
LONG positions above $29.5 with 30.15 & 31 in sight. Downside breakout of 28.7 will open the way to 28 & 27.15.
Crude Technical:
Pivot: 102.60$
Trend: 102.6 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias
ST: Bullish
MT: Ltd upside
GOLD Trend:
LONG positions above $1627 with 1635 & 1640 as next targets. Downside breakout of $1609 will open the way to $1594 & 1580.
SILVER Technical:
Pivot: 28.70$
Trend: RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%
ST: Bullish
MT: Range
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GOLD Technical:
Pivot: 1607$
Trend: RSI is mixed to bullish
ST: Ltd upside
MT: Bullish
-sQuareindia.com
TrendLine:
#Gold Down(-2.75) due to Strengthening of US Dollar
#Gold Rise(+4.55) due to Predominant Buyers
#Finally Gold Gains+1.80$
Banks led Wall Street to gains on Thursday even as Europe struggled again, a sign investors are betting a relatively strong U.S. economy will help U.S. stocks outperform other markets. http://bit.ly/y4SyuY

Thursday, January 5, 2012

Today's Economic Data:
"Unemployment Claims"
Actual:372K
Forecast:375K
Previous:381K
*Data Positive for Dollar
Today's Economic Data:
"ADP Non-Farm Employment Change"
Actual:325K
Forecast:176K
Previous:206K
*Data Positive for Dollar
Stock index futures fell on Thursday as renewed concerns about the euro zone's financial health pushed down the euro and European shares.
Economists expected a reading of 178,000 for the ADP report, down from 206,000, and a reading of 375,000 for weekly jobless claims, down from 381,000.
Investors awaited U.S. employment data, with the December ADP National Employment report due at 8:15 a.m. EST, and weekly jobless claims figures coming at 8:30 a.m. EST. That will set the tone for Friday's December all-important non-farm payrolls report.
European shares were lower on Thursday, led by bank stocks as sovereign yields rose across the region after a French debt auction.
Tightness in Bullion supply in region will likely ease next week, as refineries just restarted operation after the holidays at end of the year.
TrendLine:
#Gold Down(-6.90) due to Strengthening of US Dollar
#Gold Rise(+8.90) due to Predominant Buyers
#Finally Gold Gains +2.00$
Crude oil expected to trade higher today on back of supply concerns from Iran and expected Crude inventories to decline 1.4 million barrels.
USD/JPY Technical:
Pivot: 77.00
Trend: Pair remains under pressure and is chalenging its support.
ST: Ltd Downside
MT: Bearish
Crude Technical:
Pivot: 102.75$
Trend: RSI is supported by a bullish trend line.
ST: Bullish
MT: Ltd upside
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Silver Technical:
Pivot: 28.70$
Trend: RSI lacks downward momentum
ST: Bullish
MT: Range
-sQuareindia.com
08922-222222
EUR/USD Technical:
Pivot: 1.3000
Trend: Pair remains under pressure and is challenging its support.
ST: Consolidation
MT: Bearish
"Gold Will not Trade Below $1,500 Ever Again, Silver will run 3 times faster than the Gold"
-John Embry
Check Interview at www.6bg.com/3u
-sQuareindia Advisory
John Embry - Gold Will Not Trade Below $1,500 Ever Again

With gold trading $40 higher, silver up nearly $2, crude oil rising $4.25 a barrel and mining shares on the move, today King World News interviewed John Embry, Chief Investment Strategist of the $10 billion strong Sprott Asset Management to get his take on where he sees gold, silver, crude oil and the mining shares headed from here. When asked about the action in gold and silver, Embry said, “I do think there is a strong probability that the end of 2011 marked the bottom for gold and silver and that may be the lows that will ever be seen. That’s a strong statement, but the reality is gold and silver may never trade lower than that again.”

http://bit.ly/xAdCkF

Wednesday, January 4, 2012

Nov factory new orders +1.8%, below the +2.0% expected, but following upward revised -0.2% in Oct (prev -0.4%). Durable goods orders were +3.7% (revised down from +3.8%), nondurables orders +0.3% on 0.8% rise in petroleum and coal. Total fac orders ex. transport +0.3%, with tranport unrevised +14.7%. Fac shipments flat, but nondefense capital [...] http://bit.ly/wO2Y9K
US factory orders rose 1.8% in November but the headline is close to market expectations so there is little in the release to spark fresh US unit gains. EUR/USD recovered back into the 1.2950s before finding fresh offers but 1.29318 still marks the intraday lows. Further weakness still the longer-term prognosis but dealers await the trigger for a return to the upper-1.28s
The Union Cabinet on Wednesday approved a proposal to make hallmarking of gold compulsory. The move, aimed at protecting the consumers from possible malpractices of jewellers, must be ratified by the parliament for it to become a law.
Expecting crude oil prices to trade higher today on back of supply concerns from Iran coupled with expected fall in US crude oil inventories.
Analysis: Base metals lower Today as European debt crisis fear weighed on sentiments despite of positive US economic data.
TrendLine:
#Gold Down(-1.10) due to Strengthening of US Dollar
#Gold Rise(+4.10) due to Predominant Buyers
#Finally Gold Gains+3.00$
Crude Technical:
Pivot: 101.40$
Trend: further consolidation cannot be ruled out ahead of a new up leg
ST: Bullish
MT: Ltd upside
TrendLine:
#Gold Down(-1.00) due to Strengthening of US Dollar
#Gold Rise(+2.10) due to Predominant Buyers
#Finally Gold Gains +1.10$
Silver Technical:
Pivot: 28.70$
Trend: RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.
Short Term: Bullish
Medium Term: Range
GOLD Technical:
Pivot: 1590$
Trend: RSI is above its neutrality area at 50%.
Short Term: Limited upside
Medium Term: Bullish

Tuesday, January 3, 2012

Crude oil demand will increase as manufacturing activity expands in China, Iran's recent threats to shut the Strait of Hormuz.
Financial Astrology: Rahu & Jupiter are at square angel. Combination Rahu & Mars may bring positive movement in Gold.

Monday, January 2, 2012

In short term view Copper may trade lower on MCX, as rising tensions over global economic slow down will create demand concerns for metals.